Mark Hughes: Why the fastest car might not win in Mexico
Mexico City’s thin air and tricky tyre temperatures could turn the usual competitive order on its head. Mark Hughes explains why
Leclerc believes Ferrari's sensitivity to changes in its operating window is costing it valuable performance in qualifying
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Despite not having added any victories to its 2026 tally, Ferrari has had reason to feel somewhat encouraged by its recent performances.
Consecutive second places in Singapore and Austin have given Charles Leclerc some momentum, as he believes the team has been maximising the potential of its package.
However, a recurring problem keeps threatening to limit how much more the Scuderia can achieve: qualifying.
The problem was particularly striking in Austin.
Ferrari appeared competitive through much of the weekend – topping all practice sessions – only for its performance to fall away when it mattered most.
Leclerc says the explanation lies in the car’s sensitivity to changes in its operating window – a characteristic that becomes especially troublesome during the final part of qualifying.
“We’ve got a strong car, but it’s a car that is very sensitive whenever we get off the optimum window,” he explained ahead of the Mexican Grand Prix.
“We’ve paid the price a little bit recently in Q3, particularly when the track temperatures are going down. Then we just struggle a bit more compared to the others to keep everything in the right window.”
Ferrari was quickest in practice in Austin, but then dropped the ball in qualifying
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That sensitivity cost Ferrari a significant opportunity in Austin. Leclerc says the team lost a place on the front row because it could not get everything right on the lap that counted most.
Ferrari’s problem is not necessarily a lack of underlying speed, but its ability to extract that speed consistently when the conditions change and the pressure is highest; qualifying is particularly unforgiving in that respect.
Teams have to bring their cars into the right operating window for a single flying lap, and even small deviations can have a disproportionate effect on the final result.
For Ferrari, the issues is that its rivals appear to have more margin for error.
Leclerc acknowledges that the team is aware of the problem and is working on it, but he was notably cautious about the prospect of a quick fix.
“It’s a limitation we know about and that we’re focused on,” he said. “Whether we have the solution in the short term, I’m not sure. But at least it’s a point of focus and something we’ll make sure to try to get as right as possible coming into Saturday here.”
Mexico should offer Ferrari an opportunity to challenge for victory
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Ferrari’s season has not been without execution mistakes, and while Leclerc believes that’s an area that deserves particular attention, better execution can’t necessarily compensate for a car that is inherently more difficult to keep within its optimum operating range.
Asked whether perfect execution could at least partially offset the weakness, he was clear that it couldn’t eliminate it.
Mexico City’s thin air and tricky tyre temperatures could turn the usual competitive order on its head. Mark Hughes explains why
“Even if we execute perfectly, we’re maybe a bit more prone to going outside the working window and paying the price for it,” he explained.
“Of course, it definitely puts even more emphasis on the preparation and execution coming into qualifying, particularly.”
He added that every team is trying to execute as well as possible, meaning Ferrari can’t expect to gain an advantage simply by getting the basics right.
“If you’ve got a more edgy car, then it’s still a price you pay. It’s not something that you can neutralise completely, I guess.”
The recent results suggest Ferrari is capable of fighting for strong finishes, and Leclerc is still targeting further victories before the year is out. Yet if its qualifying difficulties persist, it risks repeatedly making life harder for itself before the race has even begun.