MPH: Can Hamilton write his F1 comeback story before it's too late?

F1

Lewis Hamilton will be 39 when the 2024 F1 season starts. Can Mercedes deliver him another World Championship-winning car before time catches up with grand prix racing's most successful driver? asks Mark Hughes

Lewis Hamilton 2023 Mercedes

Is Hamilton psyching himself up via a self-made redemption arc – or resigned to further struggle?

Mercedes

Talking with Lewis Hamilton during the Abu Dhabi season finale a few weeks ago, about the hopes raised and dashed by the Mercedes of the last two years, it was clearly sometimes difficult for him to retain full positivity. Swinging between affirmative and cynical, one moment he’d talk about how, “I do have faith that we will get there, we have been [at the top] before as a team, and while we have more and more new people, we still have great values and I see great focus within everyone.” A few moments later he’d rue, “If I win a race it’s, ‘Oh he’s a seven-time world champion, with 103 wins, so what?’ If I don’t do well it’s [a big deal]. I can only lose at this point in life.”

But it’s almost as if he’s using that to set up the drama, as if telling himself that people have written him off as a spent force, a once-great driver no longer equipped to take on the energy and intensity of a younger generation. So that when he does eventually get to prove them all wrong, it will be a glorious ‘Still I Rise’ moment. Yesterday’s man coming back to conquer the world, turning back the clock like an F1 Muhammad Ali. It’s easy to imagine something like that as his internal dialogue, something to keep him going through the wilderness, already two winless seasons in succession. All he can do is hope Mercedes discovers the secrets of these regulations while he still has the stuff of greatness within him. It can take a long time for a team to find its way back from the wilderness and it’s difficult to envisage him staying, like Fernando Alonso did, through year after year of toil.

Lewis Hamilton 2023 Mercedes Las Vegas GP

Will Mercedes gamble on 2024 car pay off?

Mercedes

So what are the chances of Mercedes giving him a car with which to take on Red Bull while he remains a force to contend with? The team’s technical director, James Allison, believes he can see a pathway to that. “Our understanding of these cars is quite a lot different now,” he says. “We’ve got a much better handle on how you get the aero platform and spring platform to be happier bedfellows. That is the main challenge.”

From the archive

Red Bull apparently understood that challenge straight out of the box and simply built upon it in ’23. Its suspension platform and how it combines with an apparently sympathetic underfloor airflow to keep bouncing at bay at high speed but still have great low-speed downforce is at the root of why it’s been able run rings around the opposition for two years. That’s not a combination which could have been achieved with the chassis and suspension of the Mercs of that time. “In the past, you could just say aero is king, the suspension guys will make it work. It’s more of an intimate relationship now,” says Allison before confirming that the new car will have new front and rear suspension, new chassis and new gearbox.

“I think we have understood the car so much better,” said Hamilton cautiously in Abu Dhabi. “We have developed great tools in the background. So naturally, I’m hopeful. But I’m not going to hold my breath.”

Is that the cynical realist talking, or is it just the bolstering of that internal dialogue?