2024 WRC champion? The thrilling title battle facing Elfyn Evans

Rally News

WRC champion Kalle Rovanperä may have gone part time in 2024, but Elfyn Evans will still face seasoned challengers as he fights to go one better than his runner-up spot last season

Elfyn Evans portrait

Evans heads Toyota's championship challenge in 2024

Red Bull

A three-way world title fight? Formula 1 can only dream. But in the World Rally Championship the prospect could be a tantalising reality as the 2024 season kicks off this week in its best traditions at the 92nd Monte-Carlo Rally.

Imagine Max Verstappen taking a sabbatical, how open the F1 season would then be in his absence. That’s almost the scenario that faces the WRC this year following the shock decision of Toyota’s sensational 23-year-old double world champion Kalle Rovanperä to only commit to a part-campaign this year. Rovanperä isn’t out of the picture completely – his WRC season will start at the second round in Sweden. But after that, his programme remains undefined (at least in public). Like his 40-year-old team-mate Sébastien Ogier, who also insists on only rallying part-time these days, the decision rules Rovanperä out from pitching for a title hat-trick – and opens the path for three rivals to succeed him as the new king of the WRC.

For Toyota, which will be bidding for a fourth consecutive constructors’ title this year with its GR Yaris Rally1, Welshman Elfyn Evans has by default become the focal point of its campaign. The eight-time WRC rally winner will never have a better chance to claim his first world crown after three runner-up finishes in the past four championships. Whether it would be devalued by Rovanperä ducking out is a matter of opinion. How would Lewis Hamilton feel about becoming F1 champion without Verstappen to beat? Still, a world title is a world title – and they are never easy to win.

Overhead view of Kalle Rovanpera at hairpin bends on 2023 WRC Monte Carlo Rally

Rovanperä will be absent from the Monte Carlo hairpins this year as he pursues a part-time campaign

Red Bull

Despite Toyota’s status as the WRC’s top team, Evans knows he’ll still have a fight on his hands to achieve his ambition. Hyundai’s i20 N Rally1 is well matched to the Yaris and the South Korean manufacturer’s attack, helmed by ex-Renault F1 boss Cyril Abiteboul, has been galvanised by Ott Tänak’s return. The Estonian, champion for Toyota in 2019, is fired up to win a second crown, but will also face a tense intra-team duel with spiky Belgian Thierry Neuville who, like Evans, is chasing his first. The dynamics between the headstrong Hyundai pair will likely be a talking point – all while they take the fight to Evans in what promises to be a close three-way battle.

That scenario is just the boost the WRC needs right now and will make up for Rovanperä’s disappointing step back (although at least the Finn has promised to return all guns blazing to bid for that third title in 2025). The championship is also facing something of an existential crossroads as its stakeholders weigh up premier-level rallying’s future direction. Lacking household-name personalities and the profile it once enjoyed during the days of Coin McRae versus Carlos Sainz, the WRC plays for the hardcore – without too many others in the wider world paying much attention. The sport doesn’t seem to help itself on that score, given its tendency to navel gaze.

WRC’s new points system

Even the big innovation for 2024 is questionable as a means to appeal to a more general motor sport audience. The WRC has a new points format designed to spice up the action on Sundays – but it’s a complicated system and won’t make the narrative any easier to follow for the uninitiated. Most insiders are taking a ‘let’s see’ attitude and appear to be open to revisions if it doesn’t work as intended.

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The target is a sensible one. Too often in recent years, a rally’s final day has turned into a cruise with the top order largely decided, as the Rally1 crews save their powder in a hope to claim the bonus championship points on offer in the Power Stage finale. To combat that, here’s the new system. Now pay attention!

Points will now be allocated to the positions crews hold at the end of Saturday’s second leg on the following scale: 18-15-13-10-8-6-4-3-2-1. But these points will only be awarded if the crews make it to the finish on Sunday – so it’s not a case of points in the bag on Saturday, therefore take an early bath on Sunday.

In addition to the Saturday points, another batch are up for grabs on Sunday – giving the crews fresh reason to press on. They will be rewarded for the final-day finishing order with a straightforward scale of 7-6-5-4-3-2-1 – plus the Power Stage bonuses are still available, carrying a maximum of five for the fastest driver over the test. So overall, the winning crew can still score a total of 30 points, if it heads the way on Saturday night, wraps up the victory on the Sunday and wins the Power Stage. But keeping track of it all until the dust has settled at the end of the event might not be the work of a moment.

Hyundai of Thierry Neuville in mid air on 2023 WRC Monte Carlo Rally

Neuville has a new rival in the Hyundai camp with the arrival of Tänak

Red Bull

Neuville has best summed up the pros and potential cons, at least for the full-time drivers pitching for the title. “The new points will probably make the Sundays more exciting for the spectators,” he acknowledges. “Nevertheless, the impression we have as a team at the moment is that the full-time championship drivers have a little disadvantage because on Friday you have the worst road conditions” – as always, the field starts in championship order, meaning the top crews sweep the stages to the benefit of those who follow – “and you have only Saturday to try and catch back a time loss from the Friday [before most of the points are allocated].

“On the Saturday already some of the points are handed out and it’s going to make it very challenging for us when you have part-time drivers like Ogier, Kalle and even [Dani] Sordo and [Andreas] Mikkelsen [who, along with Esapekka Lappi, will share opportunities to start the third Hyundai across the season] starting from the back of the field. They can take the big points and the full-time drivers will be left with the smaller points and [there will be] smaller gaps between those points as well.

“It will make it more challenging to pull away for the championship – but the championship might be more interesting.”

That final point is key. If the system keeps Evans, Neuville and Tänak tightly bunched at the top of the points table towards a November climax, the system will be justified.

Overhead view of Ford Puma of Ott Tanak in 2023 WRC Monte Carlo Rally

Tänak’s short-lived stint at Ford ended with his return to Hyundai

Red Bull

For the long-term, the FIA, the WRC promoter and the three Rally1 manufacturers – Toyota, Hyundai and M-Sport Ford – are working through a process of deciding which path to take on regulations: stick with an evolved version of the current hybrids, which are fast and spectacular but at €1 million for a car too costly for privateers – and haven’t achieved their target of luring in a fourth manufacturer; or promote the current, simpler and far less expensive Rally2 cars, but with a bolted on booster package to make them suitably spectacular to become the pinnacle class. As you’d expect, everyone has a view, including on when any such change should be implemented. Next year seems too early, and the consensus appears to be for 2027.

But for now the focus is trained mostly on what could be a thrilling WRC season. Ogier makes one of his intermittent appearances this weekend, the eight-time champion bidding for a remarkable 10th victory on the Monte. Meanwhile, the three likely title hopefuls will be looking for solid points to launch their campaigns – and the small supporting cast in Rally1 all have their own agendas. Toyota’s popular Japanese ace Takamoto Katsuta really should be pitching for victories in his fourth full season as a Gazoo Racing works driver; accident-prone Frenchman Adrien Fourmaux must prove to M-Sport he is ready to lead the team having stepped back to win the British Rally Championship last year; and Grégoire Munster, 25, has a golden chance to establish himself in the other Puma.

Only eight top-line Rally1 entries means another season of slim pickings at rallying’s elite level. There’s an awful lot that needs addressing through the rest of this decade. But the hopefully short-lived loss of its brightest star might well have a silver lining for 2024. We could be in for the tightest, most exciting WRC title battle in years.