Spa's final race for years to come? What to watch for at the 2022 Belgian GP

F1

F1 ends its summer break at Spa for what could be the final Belgian Grand Prix before it drops off the calendar. With the prospect of an even closer fight at the front on a revamped circuit, it could be a thrilling send-off

Spray from F1 car through Eau Rouge Raidillon at the Spa Belgian Grand Prix

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F1 is back after the summer break, and team members will be swapping their holiday stories in the familiar surroundings of Spa for what could be the last time in years.

The fan and driver favourite is in doubt for the 2023 calendar and beyond, despite benefitting from a revamp and resurfacing that is said to have made the circuit faster, more flowing and safer.

We’ll see the effect of that this weekend, where there may be more movements in the 2023 drivers’ market, following McLaren’s announcement that Daniel Ricciardo will be leaving the team at the end of the season.

The weekend sessions will also bring the first evidence of how a new technical directive has hit Red Bull and Ferrari‘s performance, plus signs of whether Charles Leclerc can mount a fightback in the championship race.

With all of that and more in prospect, here is what to look out for at the upcoming Belgian GP.

 

The final Belgian GP for a revamped Spa?

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Even its legendary status can’t help save Spa

Spa has been a staple on the F1 calendar, first featuring in the championship’s debut season where Juan Manuel Fangio won and has been more-or-less a permanent fixture since, evolving from its legendary original layout to the still-loved modern format.

It’s where Ayrton Senna once won four on the bounce, where Nico Rosberg and Lewis Hamilton collided in 2014 to gift Daniel Ricciardo victory, and where Charles Leclerc picked up an emotional, first F1 race win a day after the death of his childhood friend and ex-Formula 2 racer, Anthoine Hubert.

But the circuit’s time on the Formula 1 calendar is likely to draw to a close after this year’s race, despite being named by Max Verstappen as his favourite track, and Sebastian Vettel saying: “It would be wrong on so many levels to lose Spa [from the calendar].”

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It can’t match the fees and commercial appeal offered by new venues, such as Las Vegas, Qatar and Kyalami, as alluded to by Lando Norris, whose mother is Belgian. He said: “It’ll be sad [to lose Spa]. A lot of things are just about money nowadays, which is the issue. It’s a business.”

The decisions come despite extensive upgrade work to the circuit, partly in reaction to the death of Hubert, and also to prepare for the return of motorcycle endurance racing.

A new gravel trap at La Source will mean drivers can no longer run wide at the first corner, while a grandstand at the top of the Eau Rouge-Raidillon complex will give spectators a commanding view of the cars. Safety has been improved here by removing an embankment and pushing the barriers back.

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Having developed a reputation for numerous high-speed crashes over the years, Spa has undergone renovation for 2022

The run-off area at Turn 17 [Blanchimont], which is the fastest corner at Spa, has also been increased in order to reduce the impact of cars hitting the tyre barrier. Meanwhile, a gravel trap has been added to Turn 10 [Bruxelles], above, which removes the old asphalt run-off.

A full resurfacing is said to have eliminated bumps, which Lewis Hamilton complained of last year, and Jarno Zafelli, the circuit designer who oversaw the work, says that lap times have been reduced by 1.5sec, making this year’s cars as fast as their 2021 predecessors.

 

Will it rain at Spa?

Safety car goes through Eau Rouge at the 2021 Belgian Grand Prix

As good as the action got at Spa last year

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Even after Abu Dhabi, last year’s Belgian Grand Prix may well have been 2021’s nadir after Max Verstappen walked away with 12.5 points for trundling round behind the safety car for three laps.

The crowd of 75,000 spectators was left for hours in pouring rain, waiting for a race that was classed as having the shortest distance in F1 history, despite 3 hours and 44 minutes elapsing between its scheduled start and eventual abandonment.

Attending fans didn’t receive compensation, but were given the chance to win tickets to this year’s event in a prize draw.

One look at the weather forecast might make winning entrants reconsider their weekend plans, with more rain expected this weekend.

At the moment, it’s expected to be confined to Friday afternoon and Saturday morning, so qualifying and the race would be dry. The weather outlook can change quickly in the Ardennes forest, though, and thee’s a chance that F1 may have to deploy its new reduced points system for the first time — introduced to correlate points more closely with the race distance run.

 

Leclerc looks to fight back for the title

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Is it just a matter of time before Verstappen becomes a double world champion?

It’s called a summer break, but by the look of most images drivers were posting on Instagram, there wasn’t much that was relaxing about the hikes, runs, gym sessions that filled their August.

“I’m ready” wrote Charles Leclerc earlier in the month and he’ll need to be if he’s going to overturn the 80 point deficit to Verstappen.

The Dutchman is already in the position where he only has to finish immediately behind Leclerc in every race to be crowned champion, so the Ferrari driver and his team-mate, Carlos Sainz, will both need to take maximum points at every opportunity just to stay in the title fight. Ferrari will also need reliability and strategy on its side.

In contrast, if Verstappen continues in the vein of form that carried him to victory at the last two races in France and Hungary, then he’ll retain his championship with several rounds to spare.

 

New plank ruling could hit Ferrari and Red Bull pace

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After two consecutive victories for Red Bull, Mercedes is now Ferrari’s closest competitor

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One team’s loophole is another’s illegal device, but when it comes to flexible planks under the floor, there’s no longer any doubt: from this weekend, a new technical directive will ensure that they remain rigid.

It’s thought that Ferrari and Red Bull had made use of a controversial interpretation of the rules to give their planks extra flex and therefore greater aerodynamic stability. That possibility has now been ruled out and Spa should show whether that’s had an impact on their performance.

Top amongst the potential beneficiaries is likely to be Mercedes, which has been closing the gap to the top teams and will hope that the regulation tweak will bring it closer to the top two and in a position to challenge for the podium, if not win.

Reducing the gap to the front could see Mercedes overhaul Ferrari by the end of the year, based on the first half of the season: it has capitalised on several blunders from the Scuderia and is now 30 points behind Ferrari, despite an initial troublesome start to the season which was its worst in 10 years.

 

Alonso’s awkward return to the Alpine garage

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The enforced factory shutdown meant that there were no major contract announcements during the summer break. 

That could change this weekend, with several 2023 seats still undecided. We’ll also get a better idea of the fallout at Alpine after a double helping of post-Hungarian GP bombshells. First it lost Fernando Alonso, who has signed a 2023 contract with Aston Martin, and it was then spurned by its hotshot reserve Oscar Piastri in a row that could end in court. 

Both drivers are still contracted to fulfil their Alpine duties this season, with interactions and radio messages between them and the team likely to be studied closely for any sign of frosty relations.

Elsewhere, there will be Daniel Ricciardo is racing in the knowledge that he will no longer be a McLaren driver in 2023, while Nicholas Latifi remains a doubt for next year.

A surprise return for Antonio Giovinazzi was mooted at the beginning of the summer break, and the former Alfa Romeo driver will duly return later this season to test for Haas thanks to his and the team’s links to Ferrari.

 

Driver changes for FP1 

Liam Lawson in AlphaTauri garage

This will be Liam Lawson’s second outing in a F1 car after he also took part in the Young Drivers Test in Abu Dhabi at the end of last season.

Red Bull

While Giovinazzi will join an FP1 session later in the year, Formula 2 driver and Red Bull junior Liam Lawson will make his F1 weekend debut on Friday in place of AlphaTauri’s Pierre Gasly.

This is part of F1’s new rule for 2022 which states teams must run a ‘rookie’ driver during two free practice sessions over the season.

“[I’m] super excited to say I’ll be doing my first FP1 this weekend at Spa,” said Lawson, who is currently eighth in the F2 standings. “I honestly couldn’t think of a better place to do it, there’s going to be a very exciting feeling. [It’s an] historic track and a place that I’ve always enjoyed driving. So in a Formula 1 car is going to be incredible.

“I’ve been doing a lot of sim work over the year as well, leading up to this, so I think the prep was really really good and, obviously, I had my first outing last year in December.

“Since then, honestly, I’ve been dying to get back in the car.”

It’s the first time AlphaTauri has done this in 2022, so Yuki Tsunoda will also be required to give up a practice session at some point until the end of the season.

With Tsunoda’s seat in F1 for next year not yet fully confirmed, it’ll be interesting to see how Lawson performs. He has won two races this season at Jeddah and Paul Ricard.