A four-way battle for Le Mans victory? Porsche & Peugeot show pace to fight

Le Mans News

Expectations for the 2023 Le Mans 24 Hours have been shaken up after Peugeot and Porsche joined favourites Ferrari and Toyota near the top of the timesheets on Test Day — having benefited from Balance of Performance changes ahead of the session

Porsche and Peugeot Hypercars at 2023 Le Mans test Day

Off the pace earlier this season, Porsche and Peugeot were lapping with the leaders on Test Day

Florent Gooden / DPPI

Testing is testing, and you should never read too much into it. Especially on the Circuit de la Sarthe where the track evolves — and generally gets quicker — as more and more rubber is laid down through race week. Much of its eight and half miles is public roads, after all. Yet the results of the 2023 Le Mans Test Day on Sunday suggest that the established order in the World Endurance Championship so far this year has been well and truly shaken up.

The Balance of Performance changes made just days before the official pre-test ahead of race week have shuffled the deck. Toyota, so dominant in the opening three rounds of the series, no longer appears to be in the ascendancy. Ferrari, number two in the pecking order so far this season, has maintained a position up at the sharp end of the field, while Porsche suddenly looks like a contender for a 20th outright victory and Peugeot not quite the disaster that it has so far.

Those judgements are being made on one-lap pace at the test when no one knows what programme the teams are running, what tyres their cars are on, or just how hard the drivers are trying. But they do suggest that the centenary running of great race is going to be just that — a race, and perhaps even a great one! It didn’t look that way after Toyota’s domination over the first three races of the 2023 WEC season.

Toyota Hypercar at 2023 Le Mans test day

Toyota has led the way so far, but finds itself under pressure after weight penalty

Toyota Gazoo Racing

Toyota can no longer be regarded as the runaway favourite. That’s not surprising given that its pair of GR010 Hybrid Le Mans Hypercars are now carrying an extra 37kg, the amount the minimum weight has been raised since Spa at the end of April. There was an air of pessimism in the camp after the Test Day. A manufacturer that has become so used to winning — and winning with some ease — against limited opposition in the dying days of LMP1 and then the opening two years of the Hypercar era wasn’t at all happy.

That’s not to say it was dramatically off the pace. Kamui Kobayashi’s best of the six hours of running last Sunday was only three-tenths off the ultimate pace in third place in the times. Team-mate Mike Conway had been been fifth in the order in the morning, 1.1sec behind.

Kobayashi, who is also team principal at the Toyota Gazoo Racing WEC squad, reckons the Japanese manufacturer was in “a tough situation in terms of performance”. He suggested the BoP hit is costing the GR010 over a lap of Le Mans on social media, though the team wouldn’t verify that.

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Pascal Vasselon, technical director at Toyota Gazoo Racing Europe, would only say that the times the GR010 was doing weren’t a surprise. Finding those all-important missing tenths was, he said, “our job and we will just get on with it”.

Ferrari came out of the Test Day looking good after topping the two sessions with Antonio Fuoco and then Antonio Giovinazzi aboard its pair of 499P LMHs. But then the one-lap pace of the car was never in doubt after the former pulled out a sensational pole position on its debut at the Sebring 1000 Miles back in March. Giovinazzi produced a lap good enough to the top the qualifying times at Spa, too, though that one was scrubbed out for a track-limits violations.

Ferrari knows that the job that lies ahead if it is to win Le Mans on its factory return with the prototype 50 years on from its last such campaign is to hone the 499P into a consistent race car. There were signs of progress in that direction at Spa as James Calado swept through to maintain the Italian manufacturer’s run of podiums on the final lap. Ferrari, however, was among the losers in the BoP shake-up: it had 24kg added to its minimum weight, which will have an inevitable effect on the car’s ability to look after its tyres.

Calado, who shares his 499P with Giovinazzi and Alessandro Pier Guidi, took the final piece of silverware last time out in the WEC from Porsche. The German manufacturer has endured a difficult start to its return to the WEC after just four seasons out since the end of its 919 Hybrid LMP1 programme, but its car showed some real pace at the Test Day.

Ferrari Hypercar at Le Mans 2023 test Day

Ferrari remains a frontrunner despite losing out in BoP re-evaluation

Ferrari

A 963 LMDh was in the top three in both sessions and Laurens Vanthoor ended up second, just over a tenth behind Giovinazzi in the quicker, afternoon session. He actually posted a time that should have given him the top spot in the timesheets aboard his Porsche Penske Motorsport factory entry. He best lap was lost, however to a four-wheels-off infraction at Tertre Rouge.

Real progress appears to have been made over the course of three tests since Spa. The 963 has been plagued by instability under braking and project leader Urs Kuratle reckoned Porsche has “improved a lot in this area” in the past month of so.

Peugeot, which is racing with an unchanged BoP, showed some form, too, with its 9X8 LMH. Gustavo Menezes was second-fastest to Fuoco in the opening session, the first time one of the French cars has been anywhere near the sharp end of the times this year.

The drivers of the 9X8 reckon it’s too early to draw conclusions. They’re right, of course; it really is too early to start making predictions before the first sessions of practice and qualifying on Wednesday. But what we can say is that predictions will be required rather than writing this one off as another Toyota walkover.