Red Bull's one-man F1 team: why Perez's pace is irrelevant in 2023

F1

Sergio Perez has faded into irrelevance in 2023, while Max Verstappen has dominated. So, does Red Bull really need a second driver in order to stay on top?

Max Verstappen holds champagne and trophy on F1 podium next to a sombre Sergio Perez after 2023 Belgian GP

A familiar sight: Verstappen's success has made Perez look insignificant in 2023 

Paul Vaicle / DPPI

Red Bull will look back at 2023 as a season of record-breaking dominance with a rocket ship car; brilliant strategy; and blistering pace from Max Verstappen. But amid the hubris, one team member will have a very different view of the year.

Sergio Perez began the year winning two of the first four races, speaking of his belief that he could be world champion. Last weekend, with no further victories to his name and over 150 points adrift in the title race, he told Dutch newspaper De Limburger that his confidence had been shattered by a car that he couldn’t figure out, and that he had hired a mental coach to prevent the pitlane pressure from spilling over to his home life.

The six-time grand prix winner knew he was signing up to what has been dubbed the toughest seat in Formula 1, when he joined Red Bull alongside Max Verstappen for the 2021 season. Daniel Ricciardo, Pierre Gasly and Alex Albon had all felt the burden of trying to match their undeniably brilliant team-mate.

But this season has proved to be crushing for Perez. Unable to extract as much pace from the challenging RB19 as Verstappen, he hasn’t just seemed irrelevant to the championship charges, he has been.

In fact, if you remove Perez from the equation and recalculate the points totals — redistributing his points to drivers who finished behind him in races — Verstappen would already be this year’s world champion, and the constructors’ title would be within sight for the team.

2 Sergio Perez red Bull 2023 Austrian GP

Perez tries to focus on the positives (there haven’t been many in 2023)

Grand Prix Photo

If the promise of the early season had continued from Perez’s race wins in Saudi Arabia and Azerbaijan, Red Bull would likely have sewn up the constructors’ title even earlier than it did in Suzuka, but we’d also have a championship battle on our hands between the team’s drivers.

However, as Mark Hughes has previously covered, Verstappen’s defeat at Baku proved the catalyst for unlocking a new level of performance from his car, which brought a record-breaking ten win streak and a spiral of underperformance for Perez.

Red Bull has scored a total 623 constructors’ points so far this season: 64.21% of them coming from Verstappen (400) and 35.79% of them coming from Perez (223). Aside from the driver pairings at Aston Martin and Williams, the contribution gap between the team-mates is the biggest on the F1 grid.

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But when Perez is removed from the picture entirely, his insignificance to Red Bull’s success this season truly comes to light.

In this alternate reality, Verstappen’s dominant performance in Bahrain would have been followed by further success in Jeddah (where he actually finished second), even after qualifying fifteenth on the grid. He’d have been in the top spot by lap 25, surpassing Fernando Alonso and with no Perez to chase.

Following a third consecutive victory for Verstappen in Melbourne, a Jeddah-esque story would play out once again in Baku. He was  beaten in qualifying and during Saturday’s sprint race by Ferrari‘s Charles Leclerc but had the speed and strategy to best the field during the grand prix on Sunday. If Perez wasn’t there, victory would have been Verstappen’s.

Verstappen Baku 2023

Verstappen wins 2023 Azerbaijan Grand Prix on Perez-less grid

Grand Prix Photo

From that point, there’s no need to reimagine Verstappen’s results. Save for the fastest lap in Montreal, Perez didn’t take a single point from Verstappen, who then won ten successive races until his eventual defeat in Singapore, where the RB19 was an uncharacteristic handful and only good enough for fifth.

A week later at Suzuka, it was on top form — Verstappen leading from the front.

As of now, after the 2023 Japanese Grand Prix, the results of a Perez-less season would be remarkably similar to the reality.

Verstappen would have wrapped up his third drivers’ world title in Japan, with a 201-point lead over Lewis Hamilton after his fifteenth win of the season, and Red Bull would remain in control of the constructors’ standings, 78 points ahead of Mercedes.

But on current form, Verstappen on his own would still make Red Bull tough to catch during the final race weekends of the season. If his form continued — winning every remaining event and finishing the year on a total of 585 points — and both Hamilton and Russell never missed the podium, Mercedes would still finish 29 points shy of the constructors’ crown.

 

New 2023 constructors’ standings (without Perez)

Constructor Points
1 Red Bull 410
2 Mercedes 332
3 Ferrari 298
4 Aston Martin 234
5 McLaren 183
6 Alpine 96
7 Williams 34
8 Alfa Romeo 19
9 AlphaTauri 14
10 Haas 14

These results shouldn’t shame Perez: his performances in 2021 and 2022 were crucial to Red Bull’s success, and it’s clear that few drivers can access the same level of performance as Verstappen. It would make sense for the team to give him the benefit-of-the-doubt card and keep him on next year — he does have a contract after all.

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But Christian Horner and Helmut Marko aren’t renowned for their patience — often cutting drivers loose after just a handful of poor races, let alone an entire bad season. Nyck de Vries, Pierre Gasly and Alex Albon have been victims of the team’s cutthroat ways, so after such as shocking 2023 campaign, why is Perez not receiving the same treatment?

Perhaps Red Bull values the stability and relative calm that Perez brings, which allows Verstappen to perform at the highest level. At just 25 years old, he may well be the best driver on the current grid but, just as importantly, the most consistent. The past two seasons have seen few mistakes and he’s reached the chequered flag 35 times in the last 37 races.

It’s a run of unprecedented success that few past champions can match, and while Verstappen is delivering at this level, why fix a winning formula?

Max Verstappen celebrates winning 2022 F1 world championship at Japanese GP

A champion of the past, present and future: Red Bull hit the F1 jackpot with Verstappen

Getty Images via Red Bull

The answer may come with McLaren’s improving performance. Red Bull might be hoping to maintain its advantage at least until the next big regulation change in 2026, but the spotlight will be on Perez if rivals move closer, challenging the team not just in next year’s constructors’ table but for race wins as well.

In that instance, the team could opt for a different driver, with Ricciardo looking to be in the frame. But it could also decide to focus its attention on the car, in search for a solution that can harness Perez’s speed, that’s largely been evidenced by his ability to race through the field after poor qualifying sessions this year.

But until the team is put under greater pressure, and can continue winning with one hand tied behind its back, anyone sitting int he garage alongside Verstappen looks to be completely dispensable until proved otherwise.

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