A dominant driver & distractions off-track. But F1 in 2004 was about to change...

F1

Max Verstappen and Red Bull look set to continue their winning ways in 2024 just as, two decades ago, Michael Schumacher and Ferrari dominated. But, Damien Smith writes, that 2004 season showed that nothing in F1 stays the same for long

Ferrari of Michael Schumacher crosses the line to win in F1 in 2004, as does Max Verstappen in 2023

Two decades apart in their dominance: Ferrari in 2004 and Red Bull last year

Red Bull/Getty Images

Compare and contrast, 20 years on. Back in 2004 the first Bahrain Grand Prix represented a step into a brave (and for some, controversial) new world for Formula 1, the breakout event in the Middle East lining up as the third race in an unprecedented 18-round season. This weekend, its ‘desert storm’ novelty value long worn away and now established as a reasonably popular night-race F1 staple, Bahrain kicks off the 2024 campaign that is a full third longer. Twenty-four races? Two decades ago, drivers and teams would have blanched at the thought.

Will the race on Saturday highlight a parallel to the state of play in 2004? That’s the fear, if Max Verstappen kicks off his bid for a fourth consecutive title in the manner most expect. The difference is 20 years ago Michael Schumacher reeled off what were then record numbers in a dominant campaign that followed on the back of a season that was tighter than it should have been. In 2003 he’d become champion too but only by a couple of points, despite winning six times to Kimi Räikkönen’s single victory thanks to a new points system that had achieved precisely what it was designed for.

This time, Verstappen essentially looks set to pick up from where he left off last term – if Red Bull’s quietly accomplished testing performance last week is anything to go by. Schumacher’s Ferrari era, particularly in 2002 and ’04, tested the patience of the most dedicated F1 super-fan, never mind that of the wider sporting audience. This time we’ve had two years of single-driver domination, in a period when F1 has still appeared to flourish. But a third season in the same pattern? Patience really might begin to thin.

Red Bull Max Verstappen 2024

Early signs point to Verstappen and Red Bull once more having the edge in 2024

Red Bull

Then again, sideshow stories and off-track shenanigans always seem to generate intrigue, fascination and fury, don’t they? There’s always something to keep the soap opera bubbling. This year, even if Verstappen strolls away, we have Lewis Hamilton to Ferrari in 2025 and the fall-out that creates for the rest of the F1 cast, the Christian Horner case which may or may not have further consequences now he has been exonerated of wrongdoing, the outrageous block on Andretti and Cadillac joining the grid, and the rumbles of FIA vs F1 discontent that might possibly erupt. On that last point, some things never change.

Recalling Schumacher’s grip on 2004 triggers mostly a shudder – as Verstappen’s might well do in another 20 years from now (although what shape our world is in then is anyone’s guess). Back then, the German equalled Nigel Mansell’s 1992 record of winning the first five races, crashed out of Monaco as Renault’s Jarno Trulli scored what would be his only F1 win, then shrugged off that blip to win seven more on the trot. That was 12 wins from the first 13 races, making Ferrari constructors’ champions for a sixth consecutive time by mid-August and Schumacher a seven-time champion, five of them in a row, by the Belgian GP. It was relentless. And not exactly riveting sport.

But in the wake of such a red-wash, then as now there were stories to follow as rival teams underperformed. McLaren unravelled in the year its Bond-like new lair in rural Surrey became fully operational, Räikkönen digging deep for inspiration to score a fine win at Spa. Williams was even worse, as Juan Pablo Montoya and Ralf Schumacher – always a tense pairing – prepared for change, Montoya to McLaren, Schumacher to Toyota. A consolation win at the final round at Interlagos for Montoya saved a modicum of face – but little did we know Williams wouldn’t win again until Pastor Maldonado’s amazing Spanish GP victory in 2012, and then never again (to date). Such was the changing times, Patrick Head stepped back from the front line and BMW prepared to break its alliance with the team in favour of buying Sauber and going it alone.

Montoya Brazil Grand Prix winner

Montoya’s win in Brazil made him only the fourth F1 race winner of 2004 —Schumacher won 13 of the other 17 races

Grand Prix Photo

Further back, Jaguar scored a paltry 10 points in what turned out to be the last of its five F1 seasons. The team was about to morph into Red Bull, Horner – having overseen Vitantonio Liuzzi blitzing seven of the 10 Formula 3000 races for his Arden team – would soon come on board… and snatch Adrian Newey away from McLaren. One could never have imagined what sorry Jaguar was about to become.

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The brightest story of the season was Jenson Button’s 10 podiums for BAR, reviving his career and placing him back within the top hierarchy of F1’s stars. Yet even that tale had more than one dark side. Firstly, while Button’s consistency was admirable, he never really looked like winning a race such was the Ferrari superiority. Shades of Lando Norris at McLaren last year. Both Brits, both winless, both so near… and yet so far.

Secondly, having just delivered his standout performance of the year in Germany, Button triggered a distracting storm. Or at least his management team did.

At Hockenheim, he’d started 13th thanks to a 10-place grid penalty for a Honda engine change, but stormed back to finish a fine second. Then in early August it was announced Button had signed for Williams for 2005 – just a few days after BAR thought it had triggered its option on his services for the next year. Button seemed taken aback at how hard his current team chief David Richards fought back. The case was referred to F1’s contracts recognition board, which eventually found in favour of BAR – so Button was blocked from rejoining the team at which his F1 career had begun in 2000. So he signed to join it instead in 2006 – but then changed his mind when Williams lost its BMW engine supply!

He’s always said the millions he was forced to personally spend to rip up that Williams deal was worth every cent. True enough. In 2006, as Williams dropped into the relative wilderness from which it has since only occasionally escaped, he became a grand prix winner at what was now Honda – which became Brawn GP in 2009 and made Button a world champion. What a remarkable chain of events.

Button Japan 2004

Button (far right) celebrates 10th podium finish of the 2004 F1 season — a career rejuvenated

In that context, perhaps Norris was right after all to commit himself so early to remaining at McLaren – whatever may be this year. He’s saved himself a lot of unpleasant distraction when his focus needs to be on those 24 races.

But what about this for a potential parallel? At the end of 2004, no one would have predicted Schumacher had just claimed his final crown. Or that a rule change banning mid-race strategic tyre changes would derail Bridgestone and Ferrari’s bespoke supply of rubber so dramatically in 2005. It was the beginning of the end for what was then F1’s greatest super-team as Fernando Alonso and Renault undercut the reds not just once, but twice. Such a fall seemed inconceivable. Yet it happened, and relatively rapidly.

Nothing ever lasts for ever, certainly not in F1, and nothing can ever be taken for granted, even for the greatest teams that look unbeatable. Adrian Newey has been around the block long enough to know that, which is precisely why he and his team of crack engineers have worked so hard to avoid complacency with their new RB20.

As for the allegations made against Horner, it’s a reminder how vulnerable even the most powerful people can be. You just never know what’s coming next, and it’s that tension of the unknown around the next corner that keeps us hooked, even in the midst of record-breaking one-driver domination – just as it did 20 years ago.